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California gets some relief at the gasoline pump

原文：
The worst may be over for a while for California motorists as average gasoline prices declined for the second time in the last eight weeks, the Energy Department said Monday. That came on a day in which retail gasoline prices fell nationally for the sixth straight Oil pumps week and analysts predicted that oil could plummet to $35 a barrel before the end of the year.
The average price of a gallon of regular gasoline in California hit $3.14, down 1.3 cents, according to the Energy Information Administration's weekly survey of filling stations. The national average fell 2.5 cents to $2.552 a gallon. But most of the energy discussions Monday revolved around oil, as analysts and experts differed greatly over what a three-day slide in oil prices signified about the commodity's direction in the coming months. Crude oil futures for October delivery dropped $2.33 to $69.71 a barrel after reaching a high for the year last month of $75 a barrel.
In a statement sure to give some businesses fire pumps a collective anxiety attack, one expert predicted that 2008's wild swing in crude prices, up to $147.27 a barrel in the summer to less than $35 in December, might become an annual event until regulators finally rein in speculators in energy and other commodity markets.
"Crude oil inventories are way too high compared to demand. A decline in oil futures is long overdue," said James L. Williams, president of WTRG Economics and publisher of a newsletter called Energy Economist. He said oil could hit $35 a barrel but would not remain there long.
"You could remove this kind of volatility from the markets by setting trading limits," Williams said. Other experts were not predicting another roller coaster ride for energy prices but said that indications of a global economic recovery may have been exaggerated. With a glut of oil supplies worldwide, prices of $70 to $75 a barrel were not sustainable, they said.
Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at PFG Best Research in Chicago, said that news that oil demand in China was low because of an oversupply could help drive oil prices back down to $60 a barrel. Fadel Gheit, senior energy analystSplit case pumps with Oppenheimer & Co., called the day's trading part of a normal correction to the $60 level dictated by supply and demand. "Oil prices are still inflated beyond what they should be," Gheit said.
John Kilduff, vice president of risk management at MF Global, had still another take: Investors were pulling back to await the outcome of this week's Group of 20 gathering of finance ministers of the world's largest economies and to see whether the Federal Reserve would be changing its policy.
原文来自：http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-gas22-2009sep22,0,7067300.story

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最坏的可能是一则有超过加州驾驶人士的平均汽油价格在过去8个星期内第二次下降，美国能源部周一表示。在这一天来到，其中汽油零售价格下跌国家连续第6周和分析师预测，油价可能暴跌前年底至每桶35美元。 一个在加利福尼亚州普通汽油平均价格达到每加仑3.14美元，下跌1.3美分，据能源情报署的每周加油站调查。全国平均下跌2.5美分，至每加仑二点五五二美元。
但是，能源问题的讨论围绕星期一围绕石油，分析家和专家在什么不同为期3天的油价大幅下跌对大多数商品，标志着在未来几个月的方向。 10月份交货的原油期货价格下跌2.33元69.71美元每桶达到年度高每桶75美元上月。 在一份声明中肯定给一些企业的集体焦虑发作，一位专家预测，2008年的野生挥杆原油价格高达147.27美元每桶今年夏天在12月至不足35美元，可能成为一年一度的盛事，直到监管机构终于抑制投机在能源和其他商品市场。 “原油库存太高相比需求。原油期货下跌早就说，”詹姆斯L威廉姆斯WTRG经济和即将出版的出版商总统呼吁能源经济学家。他说，油价有可能跌至每桶35美元，但不会留在长。
“你可以通过设置取消贸易限制，这从市场的这种波动，”威廉姆斯说。 其他专家则不是预测的另一个能源价格大幅波动，但表示，全球经济复苏迹象可能被夸大了。随着全球石油供应70元到每桶75美元，价格过剩是不可持续的，他们说。 弗莱恩必成最佳的资深市场分析师在芝加哥的研究，他说，有消息称，在中国石油需求是由于供过于求低能有助于推动油价回落到每桶60美元。 盖特，Oppenheimer＆Co的资深能源分析师，称为一天的正常调整，交易的一部分，60元的水平由供求决定的。 “石油价格仍然超出了他们应该被夸大，”盖特说。
基尔达夫，风险管理副总裁MF Global公司，还有一个考虑了：投资人拉回至等待本周的20个世界最大的经济体财长会议小组的成果，看美联储是否会改变它的政策。 “这次拉力赛有一个小长的牙齿，而你看到了一些获利回吐今天。这就是”Kilduff说。